Juan XXIII vs Mirasol-Baco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
LSA
0 - 0
JUA
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
JUA
7 - 0
OLV
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FRU
1 - 2
JUA
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 3
CTR
31%
22%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
JUA
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mirasol-Baco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MIR
5 - 4
JOA
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
MIR
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
VIL
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SUR
2 - 5
MIR
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MIR
2 - 0
SSC
61%
19%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |