Peru Second Division Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+318%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Pablo II College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
JPC
66%
21%
14%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
AYA
1 - 2
JPC
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JPC
1 - 1
FSM
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 2
JPC
71%
18%
12%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 1
JPC
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
JPC
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
COM
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
3 - 1
COM
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
AYA
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
COM
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |