Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+355%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Pablo II College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
JPC
0 - 0
DAG
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 3
JPC
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | +3 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
FSM
2 - 2
JPC
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DRJ
1 - 2
JPC
49%
21%
29%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 0
JPC
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 0
LLA
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SRP
3 - 1
AUN
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 1
SRP
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 1
SAM
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
AUN
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |