Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
AUR
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
AUR
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 3
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 2
COB
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 2
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
GAL
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
CIE
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AYA
1 - 0
UNI
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
UNI
53%
27%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |