Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
SCI
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
5 - 1
AUR
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 0
GAR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
STR
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 2
AUR
57%
26%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 0
GAL
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 2
VAL
53%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
CIE
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 2
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALI
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |