Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
AUR
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 0
AUR
48%
28%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 3
CIE
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
MEL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 2
COM
32%
24%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
COM
2 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
DHP
1 - 4
COM
9%
16%
75%
|
71 | 13 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
COM
2 - 0
DHP
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 13 | 58 | 0 |