Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
CIE
0 - 1
AUR
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 0
HUA
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 3
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 0
GAL
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 0
CIE
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 1
SPC
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 1
SPC
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |