Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
GAL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 2
AUR
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
4 - 0
UNA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
3 - 1
SPC
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 1
AYA
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |