Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 4-1
Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 0
UNA
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
AUR
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GAL
3 - 1
AUR
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
EST
2 - 3
PUE
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PAC
3 - 0
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
QRO
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
EST
1 - 1
SNL
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |