Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 4
AUR
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 0
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
UTC
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GAR
4 - 2
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOC
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
BOC
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |