Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
4 - 1
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 3
GAR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 2
CIE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AYA
2 - 1
AUR
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 0
UTC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 2
BOC
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 0
CAN
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
6 - 0
BOC
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BOC
9 - 0
ALF
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
DIM
2 - 2
BOC
5%
13%
82%
|
70 | 13 | 57 | 0 |