Copa Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-8
Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AUR
0 - 0
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
HUA
3 - 2
AUR
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 1
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 1
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 2
DYJ
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 1
VEL
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
DYJ
2 - 0
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 0
SMA
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |