Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 1
AUR
38%
25%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
SRP
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
AUR
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
COM
18%
25%
58%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 1
SRP
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
AUN
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 0
LOS
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 2
AUN
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 0
SFC
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |