Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
AUR
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 2
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
AUR
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAM
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
AYA
54%
25%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
BSC
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |