Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 2
GAR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
AUR
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SPC
5 - 1
AUR
56%
24%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 0
CIE
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
4 - 0
SBO
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
GAL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
ALI
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |