Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
LOS
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
COM
5 - 1
AUR
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 0
COM
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 1
PIR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SCJ
2 - 0
AUR
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
COM
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 1
SFC
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PIR
1 - 2
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |