JS Hercules vs TP-47 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
8º
7º
31
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
HER
3 - 1
JPS
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GBK
5 - 1
HER
78%
14%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HER
2 - 4
SJJ
28%
20%
52%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JBK
0 - 2
HER
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 4
OLS
16%
22%
62%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
TP-47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
TP4
1 - 1
KUO
50%
21%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JBK
3 - 0
TP4
29%
21%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SJJ
2 - 0
TP4
40%
21%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OPS
1 - 1
TP4
47%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 0
TP4
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |