JS Hercules vs TP-47 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
12º
11º
28
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
AKA
1 - 0
HER
36%
21%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
OTP
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
39%
23%
37%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
JBK
8 - 1
HER
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 0
OLS
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
TP-47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
TP4
1 - 1
NAR
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ROP
3 - 0
TP4
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AKA
3 - 2
TP4
28%
21%
51%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TP4
3 - 1
VPS
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VPS
3 - 1
TP4
18%
18%
65%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |