JS Hercules vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
8º
7º
30
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
VIF
20%
23%
58%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLS
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 2
HER
49%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
GBK
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 2
OTP
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIF
1 - 0
NAR
67%
19%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 4
OLS
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JBK
1 - 3
NAR
37%
22%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 0
KUO
57%
19%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |