JS Hercules vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
12º
11º
25
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROP
1 - 0
HER
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HER
1 - 5
FCV
27%
23%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TP4
4 - 1
HER
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HER
0 - 2
AKA
35%
22%
44%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
OTP
3 - 1
HER
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GBK
2 - 2
NAR
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 4
ROP
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 0
NAR
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAR
2 - 2
TP4
46%
21%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AKA
3 - 0
NAR
44%
22%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |