JS Hercules vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RPS
0 - 2
HER
35%
24%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
GBK
1 - 5
HER
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
FCV
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
OLS
1 - 1
HER
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
OTP
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 2
FCV
28%
21%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OLS
3 - 0
NAR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 2
OTP
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VIF
0 - 1
NAR
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 2
KER
23%
21%
56%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |