JS Hercules vs Kuopion Elo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
12º
11º
19
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GBK
3 - 0
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NAR
4 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
HER
3 - 1
ROP
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +3 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 0
HER
37%
23%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
TP4
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Kuopion Elo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
KUO
1 - 1
NAR
31%
21%
48%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ROP
2 - 1
KUO
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
KUO
1 - 2
FCV
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TP4
1 - 0
KUO
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
KUO
1 - 2
AKA
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |