Ghir Abadla vs ESM Kolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghir Abadla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 1
GAB
83%
11%
5%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
GAB
0 - 1
TEM
13%
21%
66%
|
15 | 56 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
GAB
1 - 1
WAM
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 1
GAB
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
GAB
2 - 3
GCM
12%
20%
69%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
ESM Kolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ESK
4 - 1
WAM
76%
15%
8%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 0
ESK
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
ESK
2 - 1
GCM
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
ASM
2 - 1
ESK
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ESK
1 - 0
ARB
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |