Douvres vs Choisy au Bac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
73.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choisy au Bac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SEN
3 - 1
CHO
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FCQ
0 - 1
CHO
8%
13%
80%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 4
ESW
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHO
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AUL
2 - 1
CHO
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |