Joure vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
JOU
1 - 2
LIE
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DET
6 - 0
JOU
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
JOU
0 - 3
JUL
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DRA
0 - 2
JOU
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LIE
6 - 2
JOU
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
FEN
1 - 2
TWE
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 2
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 1
TWE
42%
27%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
QAR
0 - 0
TWE
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |