Jotun vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jotun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
JFC
1 - 1
FOL
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2004 |
OSO
1 - 0
JFC
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
JFC
2 - 1
NYB
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ULL
2 - 3
JFC
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
JFC
1 - 1
GJO
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
LIL
3 - 3
MOL
68%
18%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2004 |
FOL
1 - 1
LIL
61%
20%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 1
OSO
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2004 |
NYB
2 - 1
LIL
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
LIL
5 - 0
ULL
21%
21%
59%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +5 |