JOS Watergraafsmeer vs Blauw Geel '38 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
42.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
16º
15º
55
3º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JOS Watergraafsmeer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
JOS
1 - 3
HOE
29%
22%
49%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
JOS
2 - 2
BLA
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ADO
4 - 2
JOS
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
JOS
4 - 1
EVV
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
WES
2 - 2
JOS
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
JOS
2 - 2
BLA
38%
23%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 2
DON
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 1
BLA
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
DEM
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
BLA
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |