Copa Libertadores Playoffs Last 16
Global 1-5
Jorge Wilstermann vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
JWI
2 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
JWI
2 - 3
ROY
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 1
JWI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
JWI
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ATP
0 - 0
JWI
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 0
12O
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 1
JWI
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 2
LIB
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GEN
3 - 4
LIB
11%
21%
68%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |