Jorge Newbery VM vs Villa Larca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AOR
0 - 1
NEW
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CSL
48%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VLC
1 - 1
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
AOR
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
RDM
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Larca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VLC
1 - 1
CSL
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VLC
0 - 0
AOR
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VLC
1 - 1
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CSL
2 - 4
VLC
36%
22%
43%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |