Jorge Newbery VM vs Sarmiento Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
MON
33%
24%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PAC
0 - 1
NEW
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
HHE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
NEW
22%
23%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 2
HUR
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 1
SAR
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 0
ARG
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAR
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 0
ATE
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 0
SAR
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |