Jorge Newbery VM vs Atlético Concarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CSP
0 - 1
NEW
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
EFI
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
NEW
19%
21%
61%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 0
CSP
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2021 |
CAH
1 - 0
NEW
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Concarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
EFI
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
CSP
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 0
NEW
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EFI
2 - 0
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SVQ
3 - 0
CON
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |