Jorge Newbery VM vs Alianza Coronel Moldes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SBF
1 - 1
NEW
13%
19%
69%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 0
PAC
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
3 - 2
EST
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +4 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAA
0 - 0
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Alianza Coronel Moldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 3
HUR
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 2
ALI
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
EST
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
CAA
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 1
ALI
19%
21%
59%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |