Torneo Federal B qualifying rounds 1/16
Global 2-2
Jorge Newbery CR vs Germinal de Rawson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery CR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
JNC
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAI
3 - 4
JNC
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
JNC
4 - 0
HUR
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
JNC
0 - 0
CAI
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 1
JNC
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
JNC
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GER
0 - 1
MOR
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
GER
2 - 0
RAC
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 1
GER
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
GER
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |