Jorge Gibson Brown vs Ex Alumnos 185 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Gibson Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
JGB
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
JGB
0 - 1
SFE
27%
23%
49%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LBC
2 - 0
JGB
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
JGB
1 - 0
HUR
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DPR
1 - 0
JGB
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SFE
5 - 0
ALU
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 5
HUR
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 2
ACH
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
ALU
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -3 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
LBC
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |