Jonsered vs Boljan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
9º
8º
9
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 51 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 49 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 49 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 47 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 43 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 40 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 20 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 19 |
13º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 91% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jonsered
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
JON
1 - 3
FRO
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
IKT
0 - 2
JON
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
JON
0 - 1
HFF
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
JON
2 - 1
HIT
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OCK
5 - 0
JON
21%
20%
60%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Boljan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FAL
3 - 0
IFB
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 66 | 55 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2020 |
IFB
2 - 1
TFF
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |