Jong Twente vs Excelsior analysis


56	ELO	65
-3.3%	Tilt	5.9%
21625º	General ELO ranking	560º
411º	Country ELO ranking	17º
ELO win probability

29%

Jong Twente

27.1%

Draw

43.9%

Excelsior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

29%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%

27.1%

Draw

0-0

8.8%

1-1

12.8%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.1%

43.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong Twente

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
18 Apr. 2014	HEL 5 - 1 JON 61% 22% 17%	58	65	7	0
14 Apr. 2014	JON 2 - 0 PSV 36% 28% 36%	57	61	4	+1
06 Apr. 2014	JON 2 - 1 GRA 28% 28% 44%	56	65	9	+1
29 Mar. 2014	FCE 2 - 0 JON 51% 23% 25%	57	57	0	-1
21 Mar. 2014	FCD 3 - 1 JON 68% 19% 13%	58	67	9	-1

Matches

Excelsior

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
18 Apr. 2014	JON 0 - 2 EXC 28% 26% 46%	64	53	11
12 Apr. 2014	EXC 2 - 2 GRA 52% 24% 24%	64	64	0
04 Apr. 2014	TEL 0 - 8 EXC 28% 26% 47%	64	54	10
31 Mar. 2014	ALM 1 - 0 EXC 28% 25% 47%	64	54	10
28 Mar. 2014	EXC 2 - 1 VOL 44% 24% 32%	64	64	0