Jong Aurora vs Real Moengotapoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 2
AUR
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
KAM
3 - 0
AUR
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 0
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 1
FLO
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
TAH
0 - 1
AUR
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Moengotapoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MOE
2 - 1
FLO
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MOE
3 - 0
KAM
50%
21%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MOE
0 - 3
BIN
25%
21%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -3 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 0
MOE
44%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MOE
1 - 4
JUN
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |