Jong Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
FCE
4 - 2
JON
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 3
JON
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
JON
0 - 1
MVV
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
VVV
3 - 0
JON
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
JON
3 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 1
HEL
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 4
SPA
13%
21%
66%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 0
SPA
51%
23%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 2
ALM
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCE
1 - 3
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |