Jong Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 4
JON
15%
19%
66%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
JON
2 - 0
HER
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 1
JON
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
JON
5 - 0
GRO
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 7
JON
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 3
UTR
28%
23%
48%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
1 - 1
NEC
81%
12%
6%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 1
ALK
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
FYN
0 - 1
NEC
83%
12%
6%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
GRA
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |