Jong Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
JON
0 - 4
VVV
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 1
JON
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
JON
4 - 2
GRA
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
EIN
2 - 1
JON
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
JON
7 - 0
FCO
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
FCO
3 - 4
NAC
16%
21%
64%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
FOR
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
TEL
2 - 0
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 1
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 1
NAC
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |