Jong Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
JON
0 - 0
FCO
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
MVV
1 - 0
JON
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
JON
1 - 0
HEL
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
GRA
2 - 0
JON
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
JON
1 - 1
VIT
26%
24%
50%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
MVV
1 - 0
WAA
22%
22%
57%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
MVV
2 - 0
KAA
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
STR
1 - 0
MVV
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MEE
1 - 0
MVV
12%
17%
71%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
RKH
0 - 8
MVV
2%
6%
91%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |