Jong Ajax vs Heracles analysis

Jong Ajax Heracles
67 ELO 71
28.5% Tilt 31.8%
1893º General ELO ranking 382º
42º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
40%
Jong Ajax
25.3%
Draw
34.7%
Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
Jong Ajax
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.7%
Win probability
Heracles
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong Ajax
-16%
+11%
Heracles

Points and table prediction

Jong Ajax
Their league position
Heracles
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
18º
13º
85
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Heracles
85
85
0%
PEC Zwolle
85
85
0%
Almere City
70
70
100%
Willem II
68
68
100%
MVV Maastricht
59
59
100%
NAC Breda
59
59
100%
VVV Venlo
58
58
0%
FC Eindhoven
58
58
0%
SC Telstar
53
53
100%
De Graafschap
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Jong AZ
11º
51
51
11º
0%
ADO Den Haag
12º
51
51
12º
0%
Jong Ajax
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Jong PSV
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Roda JC
15º
43
43
15º
0%
Helmond Sport
16º
43
43
16º
0%
TOP Oss
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Dordrecht
18º
35
35
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jong Ajax
Heracles
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Jong Ajax
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong Ajax
Jong Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2022
ADO
ADO Den Haag
4 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
32%
24%
44%
67 65 2 0
22 Aug. 2022
JON
Jong Ajax
5 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
44%
24%
32%
66 68 2 +1
12 Aug. 2022
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
42%
24%
35%
66 67 1 0
08 Aug. 2022
JON
Jong Ajax
1 - 1
SC Telstar
TEL
77%
15%
8%
67 53 14 -1
06 May. 2022
JON
Jong Ajax
1 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
44%
24%
32%
66 69 3 +1

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
HER
Heracles
2 - 2
MVV Maastricht
MVV
70%
19%
11%
72 56 16 0
22 Aug. 2022
PSV
Jong PSV
0 - 3
Heracles
HER
23%
26%
52%
71 59 12 +1
15 Aug. 2022
JUT
Jong Utrecht
0 - 3
Heracles
HER
13%
23%
65%
71 51 20 0
05 Aug. 2022
HER
Heracles
4 - 0
ADO Den Haag
ADO
43%
25%
32%
70 67 3 +1
30 Jul. 2022
HER
Heracles
5 - 0
De Treffers
DET
87%
10%
3%
70 40 30 0