Jong Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 3
JON
38%
23%
40%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
JON
1 - 2
FCD
75%
15%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ADO
2 - 0
JON
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
VOL
4 - 2
JON
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
JON
1 - 4
FCE
29%
22%
49%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
VOL
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCO
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
SPA
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
EXC
59%
21%
21%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |