Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 4
JON
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
JON
4 - 1
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 4
JON
15%
19%
66%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
JON
2 - 0
HER
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 1
JON
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
De Graafschap U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
SPA
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 4
VIT
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 3
GRA
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
ADO
47%
23%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |