Jolly Montemurlo vs Voluntas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VFC
0 - 2
JMO
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 1
JMO
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JMO
2 - 0
SSD
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ASG
1 - 0
JMO
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
FOL
46%
23%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 1
SCA
21%
25%
55%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 0
VOL
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 4
MAS
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FCV
4 - 1
VOL
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 1
SAN
22%
26%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |