Jolly Montemurlo vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 1
JMO
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JMO
3 - 1
SCA
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
JMO
30%
24%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JMO
1 - 0
SAN
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VMO
0 - 1
JMO
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GHI
1 - 1
FCV
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 3
GHI
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GHI
0 - 0
ASG
19%
23%
58%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
GHI
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GHI
2 - 4
USP
43%
24%
32%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |