Jolly Montemurlo vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
JMO
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JMO
1 - 1
LAV
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAS
2 - 1
JMO
52%
26%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
JMO
1 - 1
GAV
26%
27%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FBC
1 - 1
JMO
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FCV
1 - 3
MPO
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FCV
0 - 0
MAS
30%
26%
45%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
FCV
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FCV
3 - 2
FBC
37%
23%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LAV
1 - 0
FCV
70%
18%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |