Jolly Montemurlo vs Gualdo Casacastalda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
JMO
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JMO
0 - 2
VMO
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 1
JMO
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JMO
1 - 1
MPO
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 1
JMO
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
VFC
33%
27%
40%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ASG
2 - 1
CAS
87%
10%
4%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
SSD
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 3
FOL
27%
25%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |