Jolly Montemurlo vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
JMO
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
JMO
4 - 0
SPO
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FIE
0 - 1
JMO
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
JMO
1 - 0
FLA
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
JMO
64%
19%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
4 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 1
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
DER
2 - 2
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 6
OST
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
SCA
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |