Joker vs Tartu Santos II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 4
JOK
10%
14%
76%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
JOK
5 - 1
PIR
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -3 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
TIN
1 - 3
JOK
90%
7%
2%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | +4 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
JOK
2 - 0
TMK
83%
10%
6%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JOK
1 - 0
NOM
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tartu Santos II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 1
MRU
54%
19%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 3
JKN
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -3 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 0
TFC
43%
20%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
TFC
5 - 2
PIR
52%
20%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TFC
3 - 1
PIR
43%
21%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |